On 16 June, TechCrunch reported that the deal was supposed to help SpaceX’s struggling AI division. SpaceX told IPO investors that it saw a $26 trillion addressable market in AI. TechCrunch said the filing gave the first public look at Elon Musk’s AI financials: xAI lost $6.4 billion in 2025 and planned a large Grok expansion.
By 4 August, The Verge reported that SpaceX expected AI to account for most of its value. The report contrasted that expectation with the SpaceX name. The Verge Tech also reported that SpaceX had more neocloud revenue.
On 13 August, Ars Technica called the projection dizzying. It said the projection would eclipse SpaceX and make the AI lab’s debut the largest-ever initial public offering. Ars also reported that SpaceX had filed for an IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation.
Reuters examined the unconventional logic and mathematics behind a valuation of roughly $1.75 trillion. It separately described SpaceX as getting closer to a $1.8 trillion IPO. On The Big View podcast, astrophysicist Adam Becker, author of “More Everything Forever,” discussed the folly of that aspiration with Jeff Goldfarb. Reuters also said the company saw AI as a larger opportunity than conquering the stars. The Verge Tech has since reported that SpaceX is now public.
Taking this as factual, impact is 0%. The projections shape how IPO investors are being asked to value SpaceX, xAI, Grok and the company’s neocloud revenue. The valuation plans alone make no immediate operational change. For now, the numbers project that the AI business will outweigh the company whose name remains on the filing.
Watch for public disclosures showing how much revenue and value SpaceX attributes to AI, and whether market pricing supports the $1.75 trillion to $1.8 trillion valuation range. Any revision to the $26 trillion addressable-market estimate or xAI’s financials would change the picture.
SpaceX announced revenues of $7.6 billion for its ‘SI’ business in its Q3 2026 earnings. www.theverge.com/science/1014...
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