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The Problem With AI Football Predictions Isn't the AI

BACKGROUND
1 SIGNALFIRST DETECTED 2 October 2026
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How the story developed
Other feeds and industry voices
27 Mar
I combined an ML ensemble with an LLM to predict football matches — 265 match results breakdown

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>I built an AI platform that predicts football matches and tracks its own accuracy. After 265 matches, here's what I found.</p> <p>**The

OPINION · HOW · ArtificialInteligenceOPEN STORY
12 Jul
Our football model went 63-for-76 at the World Cup. Here are the 13 it got wrong.

<p>Most football prediction sites publish a hit rate. Almost none publish their losses.</p> <p>So this post was going to be the evidence: every prediction our model made at the

REPORT · WHAT · Dev.toOPEN STORY
23 Jun
I built a football bot that doesn't watch football. It's #2 in our World Cup league.

<p>The bot is sitting in second place out of fourteen. Three points behind the leader.</p> <p>The thirteen humans in this league watch a lot more football than I do, and the

REPORT · HOW · Dev.toOPEN STORY
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