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Four years of AI progress across seven capabilities, adjusted for changes in the

BACKGROUND
1 SIGNALFIRST DETECTED 4 October 2026
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Other feeds and industry voices
14 Oct
A Stitch in Time Saves Nine | OpenAI My predictions have accurately tracked developments since last year. I hope OpenAI takes the remaining warnings seriously and uses this information before it’s too late.

<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/comments/1x5okj4/a_stitch_in_time_saves_nine_openai_my_predictions/"> <img alt="A Stitch in Time Saves Nine | OpenAI My

OPINION · WHAT · OpenAIOPEN STORY
25 Mar
How much progress has been made in the last 6 months?

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>As someone hopeful to see AI create better treatments in health and medicine, what has progress looked like in the last 6 months or so?</p> <p>A

OPINION · WHO · ArtificialInteligenceOPEN STORY
16 Oct
Vals AI moves its prediction for full recursive AI self-improvement to July 2027. Claude Opus 5.5 tops its autonomous AI research benchmark, becoming the first model to outperform a published human reference in AI model training.

<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1x7u2hn/vals_ai_moves_its_prediction_for_full_recursive/"> <img alt="Vals AI moves its prediction for full

OPINION · WHAT · singularityOPEN STORY
27 Mar
The jump in AI video realism between early 2024 and now is something most people have not fully processed yet

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>I want to make a specific and narrow argument here and I am genuinely curious what people in this community think about it. In early 2024,

OPINION · WHERE · ArtificialInteligenceOPEN STORY
6 May
Both OpenAI and Anthropic now expect AIs to take over building their successors within 2 years (humans no longer able to contribute)

<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/comments/1t590q3/both_openai_and_anthropic_now_expect_ais_to_take/"> <img alt="Both OpenAI and Anthropic now expect AIs

OPINION · WHAT · OpenAIOPEN STORY
7 May
Search ranked pages. AI generates interpretation. That changes everything.

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>I wrote this after thinking through what happens when advertising enters conversational AI.</p> <p>Search engines ranked pages.<br /> Social

OPINION · WHEN · ChatGPTOPEN STORY
19 May
Demis Hassabis at Google I/O: "Artificial General Intelligence is just a few years away"

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>Demis’ timeline on AGI has been shrinking and shrinking lately. I believe he would consistently say 5-10 years away the past year or 2. Then he

OPINION · WHO · singularityOPEN STORY
2 Aug
Less than two years apart

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>The second tweet <a

OPINION · WHAT · ArtificialInteligenceOPEN STORY
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