Unpopular prediction: in less than a year, we’ll see a ~9B parameter model that’

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>LLMs keep improving.<br /> Small models are around 3 years behind frontier models.<br /> Do you think we’ll have a model as good as today’s Fable

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>Hi. What do you think is the smallest Open model, as of Spring 2026, that can match/beat OpenAI GPT 4o Mini in the broadest sense possible?</p>

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>I read this sub every day and I keep seeing benchmarks and discussions focused almost entirely on tokens/s generation speed. Prompt processing

<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1uqueil/minimax_plans_to_release_a_27trillion_parameter/"> <img alt="Minimax plans to release a

<a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47894000">Comments</a>

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>After burning way too much money on GPT-4 API calls, I finally went all-in on local models with Ollama. The progress in 2026 is insane