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If your model finds edge against closing lines, does that edge transfer to earli

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1 SIGNALFIRST DETECTED 15 July 2026
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22 Jul
A 35%-accurate model that still ranked well, and adding more features made it worse (point-in-time equity backtest) [P]

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>I built a calibrated predictive model on point-in-time fundamentals and two results surprised me enough to write up. Sharing the project and the

OPINION · HOW · MachineLearningOPEN STORY
8 May
Backcasting forecast errors: model collapsing to mean [P]

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>Hey everyone,</p> <p>I am kind of desperate for help right now on my current project. I'll try and be as clear as possible.</p> <p>I'm working on

OPINION · WHAT · MachineLearningOPEN STORY
29 Apr
Built an ML model that predicts UFC fights and use AI to explain why [P]

<!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>Been a UFC fan for years and recently had some spare time to build a web app that uses Machine Learning to predict which fighter will win as a

OPINION · WHO · MachineLearningOPEN STORY
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