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We replicated a published 0DTE options paper to four decimals. One unit-scale bu

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27 Jul
The most-starred LLM trading paper claims buy-and-hold lost 5.23%. It actually gained 9.12%.

<p><a href="https://github.com/trow126/falsify-ledger" rel="noopener noreferrer">falsify-ledger</a>.*</p> <p>TradingAgents (arXiv:2412.20138, ~94,700 GitHub stars) is probably the

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29 Jul
Four ways prediction-market "arbitrage" numbers lie

<p>I spent a few months capturing and auditing order-book and oracle data from prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) for my own research. I went in wanting to find cross-venue

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30 Mar
The Hidden Costs of Paper Trading: What 6 Weeks of Data Showed

<p>As developers, we're often tempted to test our trading strategies using paper trading platforms. These tools allow us to simulate trades without risking any real money. But

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